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    Daily Analysis

    26 / 07 / 2016USD/CHF: Bearish Pressures Noticed at 0.9854European Session
    The USD/CHF pair has been trending downwars since Thursday, the 21st of July 2016, with the bearish pressures being noticed from as high as 0.9906 to as earish low as 0.9844.
     
    With the opening of the trading session, the pair price dropped from 0.9863 down to 0.9844, but as of writing the price is trading at 0.9854.
     
    In the event that the sellers keep trading lower and manage to push the price below 0.9835, profit targets could be set at 0.9818 and 0.9797 in extension.
     
    On the flip side, in the scenario where the buyers force the pair higher , breaking above 0.9868, the price could find support at 0.9875 and 0.9882 respectively.  



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.

    25 / 07 / 2016EUR/JPY: Today’s Major Levels 116.28 and 116.95 North American Session
    The EUR/JPY pair has been moving lower since Thursday, the 21st of July 2016, with the downward pressures being noticed from as high as 118.46 to as low as 116.14.

    During the course of the session today, the pair initially rose up to 116.82 to subsequently fall down to 116.28, before rising once again back to 116.86. At the time of writing the pair is trading at 116.48.
     
    In the event that the buyers keep pushing higher and the price breaks above 117.11, profit targets could be locked in at 117.62 and 117.94 respectivly.
     
    On the other hand, in the scenario where the price finds the 117.11 level to be too resistive and the price corrects below 115.86, the pair could go down to 115.26 and 114.50 in extension.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.

    25 / 07 / 2016USD/JPY: Major Levels 106.00 and 106.71European Session
    The USD/JPY pair has been trading downwards since Thursday, the 21st of July 2016, with the sellers leading the price from as high as 107.49 to as low as 105.42.

    During the opening of the session today, the pair price open at 106.10 and manage to advanced up to 106.79, but once again drop back to 106.00.
     
    As of writing the pair trades almost unchanged near session lows of 106.22.
     
    In the event that the sellers keep exerting strong pressures and the price breaks below 105.33, the pair could find support at 104.66 and 104.03 in extension.

    Alternatively, in the scenario where the buyers resume their previous activity and the price breaks above 106.56, the pair could go up to 106.91 and 107.12 respectively.


    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
    Daily Analysis

    Market News

    22 / 07 / 2016Greenback steady against the euro and the yenThe U.S. dollar held steady against the common currency and the Japanese yen on Friday, after the ECB held back from taking any additional easing measures and as speculation on stimulus measures by the BoJ were shot down.
     
    The euro was unchanged against the dollar at 1.1033, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.0% on Thursday.

    ECB President Mario Draghi said that financial markets digested the post-Brexit volatility with ‘encouraging resilience’, but repeated that the European Central Bank is poised to act by employing all measures available under its mandate if necessary.
     
    The dollar was also little changed against the yen, last trading at 105.87, pulling back from the previous session’s seven-week high of 107.48.
     
    The Japanese yen found support on Thursday, after the BoJ Governor Harukiko Kuroda played down expectations that Japan may be preparing ‘helicopter money’ economic stimulus, by injecting money directly into the economy.

    In the meantime, the greenback remained underpinned, after strong U.S. reports on Thursday bolstered optimism over the health of the economy.
     
    Official statistics indicated that U.S. existing home sales surprisingly increased by 1.1% to 5.5.7 million units in June from 55.1 million units a month before. Economists had expected existing home sales to fall by 0.5% to 5.48 million units.
     
    A separate report from the U.S. Department of Labor revealed that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the week ending July 16th dropped by 1,000 to 253,000 from the previous week’s print of 254,000. The consensus forecast was calling for an 11,000 increase to 265,000.  
     
    Another report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said that its manufacturing index dropped to -2.9 in July from 4.7 last month.  Economists had expected the index to tick up to 5.0.
     
    The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback’s performance against a group of six-other major rivals, was unchanged at 96.62, still close to Wednesday’s four-month peak of 97.37.
     

    21 / 07 / 2016Yen drops to six-week lows as stimulus hopes boost risk appetiteThe U.S. dollar jumped to six-week highs against the Japanese yen on Thursday, as hopes for a new economic stimulus package and expectations for additional easing measures boosted risk sentiment.

    The safe-haven yen remained on the defensive amid a broad recovery in risk sentiment and expectations for more monetary stimulus by the Bank of Japan.

    Gains in Japanese stocks, which found support from media reports saying that governmental officials were planning to compile a stimulus package of a minimum of 20 trillion yen, put pressure on the yen.

    The greenback climbed to highs of 107.49 against the yen, its highest level since 7th June and last traded at 106.90, up 0.1% on the day.
     
    The S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices posted new records on Wednesday, with the Dow advancing for the ninth consecutive session, as Microsoft’s upbeat results bolstered the indices.
     
    The common currency inched up 0.2% to 117.94 against the yen and to 1.1033 against the dollar.

    While market participants expect the European Central Bank to take no further actions at its policy meeting scheduled later in the day, they anticipate policymakers to signal a future monetary policy easing to come in September.

    Meanwhile, the kiwi dropped 0.6% to 0.6986 against the greenback, after touching a six-week low of 0.6952. The New Zealand dollar came under pressure after the RBNZ indicated that further rate cuts are possible due to persistently low inflation.

    The Australian dollar edged higher 0.31% to 0.7495 against the dollar, pulling away from a two-and-a-half week low of 0.7455 touched overnight.

    The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback’s performance against a group of six other currencies, slid 0.08% at 97.08, still close to the previous session’s four-month high of 97.37. 

    20 / 07 / 2016U.S. dollar index at fourth-month highs on upbeat U.S. dataThe U.S. dollar trimmed some of its gains versus the yen on Wednesday, but it stood close to four-month highs against a group of other major currencies, thanks to upbeat U.S. data and increasing expectations of additional easing measures by the BoJ.

    Market participants remained wary after the International Monetary Fund revised down its projection for global economic growth in 2016 to 3.1% from 3.2%, although anticipating a rebound to 3.4% in 2017.

    The IMF downwardly revised the U.S. growth forecast to 2.2% from 2.4%, but stated that the Brexit implications on the world’s largest economy would be subdued and stressed that the reaction was due to weak first quarter GDP.   
    On Tuesday, the U.S. Commerce Department indicated that housing starts soared 4.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.19 million units, signalling that the U.S. economy is gaining traction.
     
    The greenback slid 0.2% against the Japanese yen to 105.96, after reaching 106.53 on Tuesday, its highest level since the 24th June, in the wake of U.K.’s surprise vote to leave the EU.

    Investors reduced their safe-haven bids in the yen, as the initial shock from the Brexit vote dissolved and expectations of further easing from the central bank of Japan at its 28th – 29th July meeting rose.
     
    Fed funds futures quotes revealed that investors see almost a 50/50 probability that the Federal Reserve will hike rates by its December meeting, according to the FedWatch tool, as opposed to less than 20 percent a few weeks ago.
     
    The Australian dollar was little changed at 0.7507 against its U.S. counterpart, while the New Zealand dollar added 0.14% to trade at 0.7065. The commodity-linked currencies found some support, as oil prices rose after the American Petroleum Institute indicated that crude stockpiles dropped more than expected last week.
     
    The common currency fell 0.1% to 1.1013 against the dollar, after hitting a three-week low of 1.0995 earlier in the session.  

    The U.S. dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s performance against a basket of six major currencies, was steady at a four-month high of 97.11.

    The European Central Bank will hold a policy meeting on Thursday, its last one before the summer break. Economists do not expect the bank to take any additional easing measures.
     
     
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