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    Daily Analysis

    23 / 05 / 2016GBP/USD: Extending its losses to 1.4480North American Session
    The GBP/USD pair has been on a losing streak since the 19th of May 2016, with the bears leading the price from as high as 1.4664 to as low as 1.4461.

    The pair fell sharply during the course of the day on Friday, with the price reaching the intraday low of 1.4485. Today the pair tried to rally, but found enough resistance around the 1.4549 area to force the pair lower and hit the intraday low of 1.4461. As of writing, the major trades at 1.4468.

    Brexit fears continue to weigh on the sterling, as data from the latest U.K. Treasury Report made investors cautious on the pair. Traders now turn their attention to the U.S. flash manufacturing PMI data due later in the day.

    In the event that the price breaks below 1.4460, the pair could find support at 1.4426 and 1.4400 respectively.

    On the flip side, in the scenario where the price breaks above 1.4563, the pair could advance up to 1.4600 and 1.4664 in extension.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
     
     

    23 / 05 / 2016EUR/USD: Consolidates the Upside at 1.1227European Session
    The EUR/USD has been trading downwards since the 19th of May 2016, with the bears driving the price from as high as 1.1448 to as low as 1.1182.

    The pair traded sideways, during the course of the day on Friday, ranging between the levels of 1.1198 and 1.1238. Today, the major kept consolidating the upside amid broad dollar weakness, currently trading at 1.1229.  EUR/USD traders now await new boost from manufacturing and services PMIs from Germany and the eurozone.  

    In the event that the pair breaks above the session high of 1.1245, the price could rise up to 1.1283 and 1.1313 in extension.

    Alternatively, in the scenario where the price breaks below 1.1206, the pair could find support at 1.1182 and 1.1142 respectively.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
     

    20 / 05 / 2016AUD/USD: Turns negative around 0.7229North American Session
    The AUD/USD pair has been trading in a broad range since the 6th of May 2016, with the price ranging between the levels of 0.7397 and 0.7244.

    On Thursday, the pair initially fell but found enough support at 0.7176 to turn things back around and end the day at 0.7227. Today the pair extended its recovery up to 0.7249, but then sellers took control driving the price to 0.7230 at the start of the North American Session. Concerns over a possible June rate hike have been putting pressure on commodity-related currencies, like the Aussie.

    In the event that the price breaks below 0.7212, the pair could find support at 0.7194 and 0.7176 respectively.

    Alternatively, in the scenario where the price breaks above 0.7261, the pair could rise up to 0.7289 and 0.7315 in extension.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
     
    Daily Analysis

    Market News

    24 / 05 / 2016EUR/JPY: Consolidates its Downward Tendency at 122.52European Session
    The EUR/JPY pair has been trading downwards since the 20th of May 2016, with the sellers leading the price from as high as 124.04 to as low as 122.40.

    The cross fell sharply during the course of the day on Friday, reaching the intraday low of 122.40. Currently, the cross consolidates around 122.52, following a renewed offered tone in the euro and demand for the yen. Investors will be monitoring the ZEW Survey in both Germany and the eurozone.

    In the event that the bears resume their previous activity and the pair breaks below yesterday’s low of 122.40, the price could find support at 121.73 and 121.36 respectively.

    Alternatively, in the scenario where the price manages to break above 123.02, the pair could escalate up to 123.41 and 124.04 in extension.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.


     

    23 / 05 / 2016Yen extends its gains following trade data and May PMIThe Japanese yen extended its gains on Monday, following the release of trade data showing wider than expected surplus and a decline in imports, while the G7 meeting at the weekend did not significantly affect the currency markets.
     
    Finance policymakers at the G7 meeting where in favour of avoiding competitive devaluation and shunned a call by Japan to boost economies with stimulus measures. Officials supported a balanced fiscal monetary and structural reform to bolster global growth.

    Official data from Japan showed that adjusted trade balance for April came in at a surplus of ¥430 billion, exceeding the ¥270 billion surplus expected, while imports fell 23.2%, more than the 19% decline forecasted. Exports dropped 10.1%, slightly lower than the 10% fall seen. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.6 in May, below analysts’ expectations for a 48.4 fall and down from 48.2 in April.  As a result, USD/JPY fell 0.31% to 109.79.
     
    The Aussie and Kiwi gained ground against the greenback on Monday, as traders took profits on the dollar’s rally amid increased expectations for a June rate hike by the Fed. AUD/USD rose 0.36% to 0.7249, below last week’s two-and-a-half month lows of 0.7172, while NZD/USD gained 0.74% to 0.6805, higher than last week’s two-month low of 0.6707.
     
    The U.S. dollar index was last down 0.13% at 95.17, after reaching three-week highs of 95.51 on Friday, in the aftermath of Wednesday’s Fed April meeting minutes indicating that rates could be hiked as soon as next month. The U.S. dollar index ended the week at 95.29, up 0.8% for the week.

    On Friday, the dollar fell against the euro as investors locked in profits amid a recent rally. EUR/USD rose 0.19% at 1.223 in late trade, still close to Thursday’s seven-week bottom of 1.1179. The single currency ended the week losing 0.84%.

    In the meantime, the Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso reiterated Tokyo’s commitment to refrain from competitive currency devaluation during the G7 meeting of finance ministers. The USD/JPY pair hit 110.59, the highest level since the 28th of April before settling at 110.13, rising 0.15% for the day. The pair jumped 1.35% for the week, its third consecutive weekly rise.

    The sterling fell amid uncertainty over the June referendum on Britain’s E.U. membership. GBP/USD dropped 0.66% to 1.4513, below Thursday’s more than two-week highs of 1.4663.

    The dollar was unchanged against the Swiss franc, with USD/CHF at 0.9901, after climbing to more than 10-week highs of 0.9927 earlier.

    Today, investors will be looking at eurozone’s Manufacturing PMI, seen at 51.9 for May, a tad higher than the 51.7 reading a month before, and at the euro bloc services sector report, expected to rise to 53.3 from 53.1 in April.
     
     

    20 / 05 / 2016Greenback steady at 7-week highs on possible rate hikeThe U.S. dollar remained at seven-week highs against its other major counterparts on Friday, as expectations for a Fed rate hike in June continued to lend support to the currency.
     
    The greenback found support after the publication of the FOMC’s April meeting minutes on Wednesday, showing that policy-makers are in favour of a rate hike as soon as next month, provided that economic data indicated that growth gained traction in the second quarter and that employment and inflation became stronger.
     
    Further to that, New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley stated on Thursday that the economy could be firm enough to endure a rate hike in June or July.
     
    The euro inched up 0.09% against the dollar to 1.1212, but remained close to Thursday’s seven-week trough of 1.1180. The dollar edged higher against the yen, with USD/JPY rising 0.24% to 110.21, trading lower than the previous session’s three-and-a-half-week peak of 110.37.

    Meanwhile, the Australian dollar was flat in the Asian session, with AUD/USD up 0.01% to 0.7229. The U.S. dollar index was flat at 95.27, a tad lower than Thursday’s high of 95.51.

    Overnight, the greenback cut gains against its major rivals, following the release of soft U.S. data, but remained at seven-week highs as the possibility of a U.S. rate hike continued to weigh on the dollar.

    Official data from the U.S. Department of Labour indicated that the number of people filing for unemployment benefit in the week ending May 14th fell by 16,000 to 278,000 from the previous week’s total of 294,000. Economists had expected initial jobless claims to decrease by 19,000 to 275,000.

    In another report, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that its manufacturing index declined to -1.8 in May from last month’s -1.6 reading. Economists had expected the index to advance to 3.5.

    The euro fell slightly on Thursday, dropping below 1.12 for the first time in more than a month, with the EUR/USD sliding 0.14% at 1.1201.  
     
    The greenback held steady against the sterling and the Swiss franc, with GBP/USD at 1.4603 and USD/CHF 0.9882.
     
    The cable found support earlier, after the U.K. Office for National Statistics reported that retail sales increased by 1.3% in April, exceeding analysts’ expectations for a 0.5% rise. March’s reading was downwardly revised to a 0.5% fall, a much smaller decline than the initial projection of 1.3%.
     
    Elsewhere, the USD/JPY fell 0.38% to 109.77. The Aussie was down 0.14% to 0.7218, while the Kiwi rose 0.18% to 0.6751. The Loonie rose to six-month highs against the dollar, with USD/CAD gaining 0.76% to 1.3133.
     
    Investors will now be looking at the retail sales and consumer prices from Canada, while the U.S. is set to round up the week with industry data and existing home sales.
     
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