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    Make use of our MT4 platform and enjoy the flexibility and availability of trading the markets anywhere and anytime.

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    Economic Calendar

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    Daily Analysis

    24 / 06 / 2016GBP/USD: Returns to the 1.3692 areaNorth American Session
    After falling all the way down to 1.3230, the lowest level since 1985 on Brexit vote, the GBP/USD pair attempted to reach the 1.4000 handle. The major has now retreated below the 1.4000 area, currently trading at 1.3692.

    The British pound remained heavily depressed after the UK has voted to leave the European Union today, following the ‘Leave’ campaign victory with 51.9% of the Britons’ votes.  Ahead in the day, attention will remain on the sterling, and the U.K. developments as global markets continue to digest the unexpected result.

    In the event that the price manages to break above the 1.4010 barrier, the price could rise up to 1.4333 and 1.4405 respectively. On the downside, in the scenario where the price breaks below the session low of 1.3220, the price could find support at 1.3108.


    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
     

    24 / 06 / 2016EUR/GBP: Retreats back to the 0.8054 level European Session
    The EUR/GBP pair has trimmed more than 200 pips from an early morning surge to 0.8313, which marked its highest level since April 2014. The cross currently trades around 0.8054.

    The sterling reacted with massive volatility and has weakened across the board after the outcome of the crucial EU referendum that gave a clear majority to the ‘Leave’ camp.

    The  cross trimmed some of its gains, taking support from the Bank of England’s statement  that it will take all necessary measures to ensure monetary and financial stability.

    Investors will be monitoring statements from the UK PM David Cameron and the BoE Governor Michael Carney.  Nevertheless, uncertainty over the economic implications of leaving the EU might impede any further recovery for the sterling.

    From a technical perspective, in the event that the price breaks above 0.8308, the price could rise up to 0.8373. On a subsequent break below 0.8000, the pair could find support at 0.7958.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
     
     

    23 / 06 / 2016GBP/JPY: Sterling bulls send the pair to 3-week highs at 158.07North American Session
    The GBP/JPY pair has been trading upwards since the 16th of June 2016, with the bulls lifting the price from as low as 145.41 to as high as 158.07.

    On the referendum’s eve, the pair traded in a tight range between the levels of 154.52 and 152.90. At the opening of the trading day today, the cross rose but subsequently consolidated, as market participants braced for the commencement of the referendum. As soon as the polling stations opened, the pair had a short knee-jerk reaction, reaching the daily low of 153.27, before surging to a 3-week high level of 158.07. As of writing, the pair retraced a few pips to currently trade around 157.40.

    Market sentiment surrounding the sterling remains optimistic, as investors expect a victory of the “Remain” camp, ahead of the voting results that are expected to be announced in the early hours of Friday.

    In addition, diminishing Brexit fears helped push global equity markets higher, while putting pressure on demand for safe-haven assets like the yen,  thus lending support to the GBP/JPY pair.  The cross might continue to trade higher should the final outcome does come out in line with expectations that the UK will remain in the European Union. 
    .

    On a sustained move above 158.07, the cross could reach 160.01 and head towards 161.34 in extension.

    On the downside, in the scenario where the price breaks below 155.33, the pair could find support at 153.27 and 151.50 respectively.



    Please note: The content in this daily technical analysis article should not be taken as investment advice. It comprises our personal view.
     
    Daily Analysis

    Market News

    24 / 06 / 2016Brexit bombshell shocks markets with sterling plunging to 31-year lowsGlobal markets plummeted as Britain voted to leave the European Union, with the sterling hitting a 31-year low, its biggest ever fall, while the yen soared.

    The British pound plunged to record lows and the euro dropped by the most since it was introduced in 1999, as the EU referendum voting resulted in a victory for the ‘Leave’ cam. The yen soared and gold surged as investors sought safe haven assets. Asian stocks fell by the most in five years.

    The hotly debated issue over the U.K.’s EU membership has driven investor sentiment throughout June, with appetite for riskier assets escalating over the last week, as opinion polls suggested a lead for the ‘Bremain’ camp. The Brexit victory will fuel speculation that more countries could withdraw from the European Union. Central banks are prepared to intervene as the reaction of financial markets reminds of late 2008, at the peak of the global financial crisis.

    A while after 06:00 UK time, with most votes in, the polling stations indicated that voters backed the ‘Leave’ campaign by 52% against 48% of the ‘Remain’ campaign. U.K. PM David Cameron warned that a possible Brexit would drive the country into recession.

    At 07:00 UK time, the British pound fell 7.1%, marking its biggest one-day loss. Before that, there was a move of 4.1% recorded in 1992, when the sterling was forced out of Europe’s exchange-rate mechanism. Subsequently, the pound plummeted to as much as 11% to 1.3229, the weakest level since 1985.

    Analysts argue that market liquidity in the country is fast drying up, thus prompting global central banks to take additional monetary easing measures in a coordinated response.

    The common currency dropped 3.2%, while currencies in Sweden, Norway, and Turkey recorded even steeper losses. The Japanese yen climbed 3.7% to 102.35 against the dollar, the most since 1998.

    Japan’s Topix index led Asian stock losses, falling more than 7%, while the FTSE 100 index futures plunged 9% and contracts on Euro Stoxx 50 slid 11%. S&P 500 index futures plummeted 5.1%, the maximum move allowed.

    Yield on 10-year treasuries fell 29 basis points to 1.46%, recording the biggest daily fall since 2009. Similarly, Japanese yield hit record-low minus 0.215 and Germany’s treasuries yield declined to a record-low minus 0.175%.
     
    New York crude oil retreated 5.1% to 47.56 a barrel, marking the biggest loss since February, while gold rallied 8.1% to 1,358.54 an ounce, posting the highest gain since March 2014.
     

    23 / 06 / 2016British pound eases from 6-month highs as the voting unfoldsThe British pound retreated after rising to six-month highs on Thursday, as voting in a historic referendum on whether the U.K. should remain in the European Union got underway.

    The cable jumped to a six-month high of 1.4845 against the greenback,  before easing to 1.4760 up 0.36% for the day, as market participants braced for the opening of polling stations.

    While two opinion polls released late on Wednesday showed that the ‘Remain’ camp had gained a lead in the closely divided campaign, trading activity during the Asian session remained thin and cautious.

    MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan increased 0.2%, where many markets in Asia were flat to negative, with China’s main index among the biggest losers. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was an exception, as it gained almost 1%.

    Demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen remained intact, with the greenback adding just 0.2% to 104.63, while the common currency added 0.6% to 118.67 against the yen.

    Traders remained largely on the sidelines ahead of the referendum, as a closely fought vote could bring massive market volatility. Several investors expect the value of the sterling to fall by as much as 15% from current levels if the U.K. leaves the European Union.

    Reuters reported on Thursday that G7 finance leaders will issue a statement highlighting their readiness to take all necessary actions to calm markets in the event of a Brexit vote.

    Analysts estimate that it will be hard for the market to move until the voting results are announced. The sterling will be in focus, but the euro, the dollar and the yen will also be closely monitored, as they will reflect changes in risk sentiment.

    The cable was hovering near three-month highs against the euro, with EUR/GBP falling 0.18% to 1.7661.

    The euro rose 0.4% to 1.1354 against the dollar, while the U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback’s performance against six other major currencies was last down 0.21% at 93.62.

    The Aussie and Kiwi dollars reached multi-month highs against their U.S. peer, as sentiment was underpinned by hopes that the British voters will vote to remain in the EU in today’s crucial referendum.

    The Australian dollar rose 0.47% to a nine-month high of 0.7531, while the Kiwi inched up 0.46% to a 12-month high of 1.7196.
     

    22 / 06 / 2016Greenback down, while sterling firm ahead of the EU referendum The greenback retreated from modest gains posted on Wednesday, while British pound gained ground one day before the crucial referendum that will determine the UK’s future in the European Union.

    Recent opinion polls have indicated a shift towards keeping Britain in the European Union, but there are signals that momentum has stalled for the 'Remain' campaign and the result still looks too close to determine.

    The dollar rose above 105.00 against the yen for the first time in a week, but last fell 0.2% to 104.55. The greenback inched up earlier in the session, after the Fed Chair stated on Tuesday that there will be gradual increases in interest rates.

    In her speech before Congress, Janet Yellen was hawkish about the U.S. economy and indicated that gradual hikes in the federal funds were likely to be needed. Nevertheless, she stressed the economic prospects were uncertain and that monetary policy was not in a predetermined trajectory.

    The single currency rose 0.2% to 1.1266 against the dollar, pulling back from two-week highs reached on Monday. That resulted in pushing down the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s performance against a group of six other currencies, to 93.916 down 0.1%, but stood higher than a two-week bottom of 93.425 set overnight.

    Federal Reserve Chair also stressed the risks of a possible Brexit and its considerable economic consequences. In a similar tone, ECB President Mario Draghi stated that the European central bank is poised to act with all instruments if necessary.

    Mario Draghi’s remarks came after the Swiss investment bank UBS warned that it may fail to execute some orders on its trading platform, should the vote cause extreme volatility or affect liquidity.

    British pound whipsawed in recent weeks with the 23rd June EU referendum looming. A recent rally brought it near a six-month peak of 1.4788 on Tuesday. The cable last stood at 1.4683, gaining 0.2%.

    Commodity-linked currencies also fell and then rebounded, with the Aussie last rising 0.3% to 0.7465, pulling away from a seven-week high of 0.7513 reached on Tuesday.

    Attention today shifts toward retail sales from Canada and existing home sales data from the U.S. Investors will also monitor Janet Yellen’s testimony on monetary policy before the House of Financial Services Committee in Washington.

     
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