31 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 31.10.2018 – AUD/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line has crossed Kijun-sen from below, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is above the price chart, current cloud has reversed from descending to ascending. The instrument is trading above Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bullish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (80.03). One of the previous maximums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a resistance level (80.49).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen lines have become support (80.02) and resistance (80.52) levels respectively




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
 
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31 / 10 / 2018 | Piaci Hírek

BoE likely to keep interest rates unchanged

The Bank of England’s (BoE) meeting will dominate the financial news headlines on Thursday November 1st 2018. The governing council of the BoE headed by Marc Carney will convene to decide on interest rates. As the Brexit date in March 2019 approaches the BoE’s decisions regarding the monetary policy that it would like to implement gain more and more importance. 

Economists suggest that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the BoE will keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.75% in its November meeting. They also forecast that all 9 MPC members will vote in favour of that. The MPC had voted unanimously to leave borrowing costs unchanged on September 13th 2018 with its decision coming in line with market expectations. The last time that the BoE raised its benchmark interest rate was in August 2018. 

A report by Nomura, which is one of the largest financial services group with headquarters in Asia, said that the BoE won’t likely alter its policy guidance in the upcoming meeting. Nomura’s analysts wrote in their report that “the CPI inflation has been volatile since the Bank published its August IR. Its forecasts for July, August and September 2018 had been for 2.6%, 2.4%, 2.4% but in the event the numbers came out at 2.5%, 2.7% and 2.4%. Despite this volatility, the most important point to note is the current rate of inflation for September 2018 is exactly where the Bank thought it would be three months ago – in other words, the point of departure for the Bank’s November 2018 forecast round is exactly as expected”. In the report’s end, they also note that Brexit remains a sizeable risk and that the weak global growth may put a strain on the effort to implement a more aggressive monetary policy. 

Economists at Internationale Nederlanden Groep (ING) believe that despite better economic activity over the past few months, Brexit is still the BoE’s number one priority. In an ING report released on October 29th 2018 it is noted that “in any other situation, we suspect the Bank of England would have been looking to increase interest rates pretty soon. Wage growth - something which has been at the heart of the Bank's rate hike rationale has been surprisingly strong over the past few months. But inevitably, Brexit remains policymakers’ number one consideration. That means we’re likely to see a unanimous vote to keep policy unchanged at Thursday's meeting, and we don’t expect a rate hike before May 2019.” The ING report mentions that “without the certainty that a deal will be in place in March, an increasing number of firms are likely to implement contingency plans, and this would inevitably put pressure on investment and hiring. If firms continue to become more vocal about the risks, consumer confidence could also take a hit.”

Rabobank’s economists seem to agree with their ING counterparts on the correlation between the BoE’s decisions and Brexit. “The MPC is ‘blinded’ by Brexit; the million dollar question is what kind of trading relationship will ultimately evolve from the negotiations. The Governor Mark Carney boldly stated that Brexit doesn’t handicap policy making, but this is a bluff. The economy has performed fairly well recently, yet no one expects the MPC to act,” they note in a report published on October 26th 2018. Rabobank’s research analysts continue to expect the MPC to act after Brexit in March 2019 and they forecast an interest rate hike in May 2019. 

Trade the British Pound on STO

The British Pound against the Euro, the US Dollar against the British Pound and the British Pound against the Japanese Yen are just three of the major currency pairs that you can trade with on the STO platform. STO provides its clients with all the necessary educational material such as webinars to help them with preparing a suitable trading strategy.

Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66.52% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with AFX Capital Markets Ltd. 64.84 % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with AFX Markets Ltd. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For more information about the key risks associated with CFDs, please refer to our full Risk Disclosure.
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30 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 30.10.2018 – EUR/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed upwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument has broken through Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. The closest support level is Kijun-sen line (127.92). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (128.99).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud has reversed from ascending to descending. The instrument has broken down the cloud and slowed down its fall. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (127.50). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (128.40).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
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30 / 10 / 2018 | Piaci Hírek

BoJ rate decision, Australian and Eurozone CPI inflation attract investors' attention

Wednesday October 31st 2018 is expected to be a day full of economic data releases coming from across the world. Economists will be able to scrutinise the data and form an opinion about the state of the relevant countries’ economies. The release of such data is becoming more important as the trade war between the United States and its partners such as China, the European Union (EU) and others is escalating putting a strain on the global economic growth. 

Australian CPI Inflation

The day will be starting from Australia where the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) is expected to publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for the third quarter of 2018 (Q3 2018). According to the economists’ forecast, the CPI inflation is likely to have risen by 1.9% in the third quarter of 2018 on an annualised basis. The estimate is 0.2% less than the 2.1% inflation reading recorded in the second quarter of 2018. On a quarter-to-quarter basis the CPI inflation is expected to have remained unchanged at 0.4%. 

Analysts at TD Securities published a report on October 26th 2018 on Australia’s CPI inflation. In their report, they suggest that the country’s CPI inflation is likely to have risen by 0.6% on a quarterly basis and by 2.1% on a year-to-year basis. “We also arrive at +0.6%/q in a 'bottom up' sense. While fuel prices have recently exploded (late September/early October 2018), a dip earlier in the quarter sees Q3 fuel prices rise by +0.9%/q (although early tracking for Q4 is +7.6%/ q)” TD Securities’ analysts noted.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision 

On Wednesday October 31st the BoJ’s governing board will convene to decide on interest rates. The majority of economists polled by Reuters suggests that the BoJ will keep borrowing costs unchanged. Economists at Internationale Nederlanden Groep (ING) wrote in their report, released on October 29th 2018, that the BoJ’s October meeting will be an important one. “The BoJ’s Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, has been dropping hints about changes to BoJ policy. He has been sounding more positive about inflation, with core (ex-fresh food) inflation now at 1.0%. The elusive 2% level may still be the official target, but there is a sense that a more pragmatic 'good enough’ rate of about 1% could pave the way for the BoJ to start tweaking its policy stance,” is noted in the report. ING’s economists said it is possible to see “more stealth tightening steps to come this week - and this could be mildly supportive for the Japanese Yen.”

Eurozone preliminary CPI inflation data

Going back to Europe, on Wednesday October 31st morning, Eurostat, which is the official statistical office of the European Union (EU), will publish the Eurozone’s preliminary CPI inflation data for October 2018. According to a poll published by Bloomberg on October 26th 2018, the CPI inflation is likely to have risen to 2.2% on an annualised basis, 0.1% higher than the September’s reading. The core CPI inflation is expected to have ticked up reaching 1.0% on a year-to-year basis. Eurostat will also release data regarding the Eurozone’s September 2018 unemployment rate which is likely to come in at 8.1%, remaining unchanged since August 2018. 

Trade with STO

The Euro, the Japanese Yen and the Australian Dollar are three of the currencies you can trade with on the STO’s trading platform. Our clients have the opportunity to choose from over 30 currency pairs and enjoy a bespoke trading experience. STO provides its clients with all the necessary educational material such as webinars to help them with preparing a suitable trading strategy.

Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66.52% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with AFX Capital Markets Ltd. 64.84 % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with AFX Markets Ltd. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For more information about the key risks associated with CFDs, please refer to our full Risk Disclosure.
...
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29 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 29.10.2018 – AUD/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument has broken through Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. The closest support level is Tenkan-sen line (79.16). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (79.74).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading below Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bearish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (78.51). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (79.99).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
...
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26 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 26.10.2018 – EUR/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed downwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading below Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bearish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (127.70). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (128.00).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line has crossed Kijun-sen from above, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading below Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bearish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (127.46). One of the previous maximums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a resistance level (128.25).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
...
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25 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 25.10.2018 – AUD/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument has been corrected to the Tenkan-sen line. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (79.233). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (79.512).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, both lines are directed downwards. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading below Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines; the Bearish trend is still strong. One of the previous minimums of Chikou Span line is expected to be a support level (78.870). The closest resistance level is Tenkan-sen line (79.740).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
...
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24 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 24.10.2018 – EUR/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed downwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. The closest support level is Tenkan-sen line (128.82). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (129.54).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading around upper border of the cloud. The closest support level is the lower border of the cloud (128.45). The closest resistance level is Kijun-sen line (130.65).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
 
...
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23 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 23.10.2018 – AUD/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is above Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is crossing the price chart from above, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading around lower border of the cloud. The closest support level is the lower border of the cloud (79.81). The closest resistance level is Kijun-sen line (79.99).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed downwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span has crossed the price chart from above, current cloud is descending. The instrument has been corrected to the Tenkan-sen line. The closest support level is Tenkan-sen line (79.77). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (80.27).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
...
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22 / 10 / 2018 | Technikai Elemzés

Technical Analysis 22.10.2018 – EUR/JPY: Ichimoku clouds

Let's look at the four-hour chart. Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the red line is directed upwards, while the blue one remains horizontal. Confirmative line Chikou Span is crossing the price chart from below, current cloud is descending. The instrument is trading around lower border of the cloud. The closest support level is Kijun-sen line (129.308). The closest resistance level is the upper border of the cloud (129.655).




On the daily chart Tenkan-sen line is below Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal . Confirmative line Chikou Span is below the price chart, current cloud is ascending. The instrument is trading between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. The closest support level is Tenkan-sen line (129.411). The closest resistance level is Kijun-sen line (130.726).




The Technical Analysis is provided by Claws and Horns (Cyprus) Limited, an independent analytical company. Any views and opinions expressed are explicitly those of the writer. Any information contained in the article, is believed to be reliable, and has not been verified by STO and is not guaranteed to be accurate. References to specific products, are for illustrative purposes only and are not a form of solicitation, recommendation or investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
...
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